Poland vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
0 - 2
POL
8%
18%
75%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
POL
11%
19%
70%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
POL
2 - 0
FRO
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
MDA
3 - 2
POL
6%
17%
77%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
DEU
18%
20%
62%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FRO
0 - 1
MDA
46%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
MDA
3 - 2
POL
6%
17%
77%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
MDA
76%
18%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |