Peru vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PER
3 - 0
JAM
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
23%
24%
52%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHI
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |