Paraguay vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
CHL
3 - 2
PRY
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
PRY
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PRY
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PRY
0 - 0
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PRY
1 - 0
ARE
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
URY
4 - 1
NIC
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 2
NIC
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TTO
1 - 1
NIC
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 1
VCT
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GTM
3 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |