New Zealand vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
1 - 0
PYF
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
0 - 2
FJI
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
3 - 0
NCL
88%
10%
3%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NCL
1 - 3
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NZL
4 - 1
VUT
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
0 - 2
FJI
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
VUT
2 - 1
FJI
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
FJI
2 - 0
VUT
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NCL
4 - 0
FJI
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FJI
3 - 3
NCL
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |