Nigeria vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
1 - 1
TUN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
0 - 1
ALG
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 4
NGA
13%
24%
63%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 1
BEN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 0
TOG
75%
18%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NIG
1 - 0
SLE
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MTN
2 - 1
SLE
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
SLE
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 0
LBR
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |