Nigeria vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
86%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 2
URU
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
TAH
1 - 6
NGA
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
NAM
1 - 1
NGA
20%
28%
52%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
19%
28%
53%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MEX
2 - 2
NGA
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
10 - 0
TAH
92%
7%
1%
|
99 | 45 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
URU
76%
15%
9%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
IRL
81%
14%
5%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
HTI
90%
9%
2%
|
99 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 1
ESP
19%
23%
58%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | +1 |