WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Mozambique vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ZMB
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZMB
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
MOZ
17%
23%
59%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 4
MOZ
15%
20%
65%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
5 - 1
SYC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
TCD
77%
15%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TCD
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 2
COD
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
3 - 3
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RWA
0 - 1
GAB
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |