Mozambique vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
PRT
3 - 0
MOZ
81%
14%
5%
|
62 | 94 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MOZ
0 - 1
BWA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 0
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
91%
7%
2%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
LBY
2 - 1
MLI
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 0
LBY
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
KWT
1 - 1
LBY
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZWE
0 - 0
LBY
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
LBY
1 - 1
GHA
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |