Montenegro vs Serbia analysis

Montenegro Serbia
73 ELO 87
-7.4% Tilt -17.7%
815º General ELO ranking 119º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.6%
Montenegro
25.3%
Draw
56.1%
Serbia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
Montenegro
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56.1%
Win probability
Serbia
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montenegro
+9%
+1%
Serbia

ELO progression

Montenegro
Serbia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montenegro
Montenegro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2023
BGR
Bulgaria
0 - 1
Montenegro
MNE
60%
22%
18%
73 78 5 0
20 Nov. 2022
SVN
Slovenia
1 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
62%
23%
15%
73 80 7 0
17 Nov. 2022
MNE
Montenegro
2 - 2
Slovakia
SVK
24%
27%
49%
73 82 9 0
26 Sep. 2022
MNE
Montenegro
0 - 2
Finland
FIN
29%
26%
45%
74 81 7 -1
23 Sep. 2022
BIH
Bosnia
1 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
63%
21%
16%
74 82 8 0

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2023
SRB
Serbia
2 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
86%
10%
4%
87 52 35 0
26 Jan. 2023
USA
United States
1 - 2
Serbia
SRB
65%
20%
15%
87 90 3 0
02 Dec. 2022
SRB
Serbia
2 - 3
Switzerland
CHE
39%
24%
37%
87 89 2 0
28 Nov. 2022
CMR
Cameroon
3 - 3
Serbia
SRB
22%
26%
52%
87 80 7 0
24 Nov. 2022
BRA
Brazil
2 - 0
Serbia
SRB
87%
10%
3%
87 98 11 0
X