Montenegro vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MNE
0 - 1
CZE
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CZE
2 - 0
MNE
92%
6%
2%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
MNE
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
MNE
2 - 2
ENG
6%
17%
77%
|
76 | 98 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
WLS
2 - 1
MNE
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
JPN
3 - 1
ISL
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
PRT
5 - 3
ISL
85%
12%
4%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
1 - 0
CYP
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 0
ISL
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
HUN
4 - 0
ISL
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |