Mexico vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 3
URY
42%
26%
33%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 1
NGA
69%
20%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
GTM
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
82%
14%
5%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
3 - 1
SUR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 1
JAM
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
GUF
3 - 1
SUR
39%
23%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
THA
1 - 0
SUR
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 1
GUY
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |