Mauritania vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
MTN
2 - 0
YEM
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 0
LBR
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
4 - 1
MTN
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CTA
0 - 1
MTN
8%
16%
76%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MTN
0 - 0
MAR
10%
23%
68%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 0
ZAM
12%
21%
67%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 2
LSO
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |