Morocco vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
MAR
38%
29%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
LBY
1 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
COG
60%
24%
15%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CPV
60%
25%
15%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
CPV
9%
17%
75%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LBY
4 - 0
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STP
2 - 1
LBY
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |