Morocco vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 0
MAR
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
MAD
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
SDN
88%
10%
2%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GER
2 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 4
PER
15%
27%
59%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
MEX
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |