Malta vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
JOR
2 - 0
MLT
72%
20%
9%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MLT
0 - 1
CRO
9%
20%
71%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 0
MLT
80%
16%
4%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MLT
2 - 2
AZE
21%
24%
54%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
MLT
81%
15%
4%
|
49 | 92 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
AZE
2 - 1
MDA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SWE
2 - 0
MDA
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MDA
1 - 2
RUS
11%
22%
67%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MDA
0 - 2
MNE
28%
26%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 0
MDA
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |