Malta vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2003 |
MLT
0 - 4
POL
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ISR
2 - 2
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
LUX
1 - 1
MLT
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLT
1 - 2
CYP
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
MLT
1 - 3
SVN
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
LUX
1 - 2
MDA
13%
19%
68%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NLD
5 - 0
MDA
95%
4%
1%
|
69 | 99 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
MDA
2 - 1
BLR
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
90%
7%
2%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
CZE
5 - 0
MDA
95%
5%
1%
|
69 | 94 | 25 | 0 |