North Macedonia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
70.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
ENG
7 - 0
MKD
86%
11%
3%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MKD
2 - 3
UKR
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 0
FRO
81%
14%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MKD
2 - 1
MLT
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 3
AZE
71%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NED
2 - 3
ITA
58%
21%
21%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
62%
20%
17%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
5%
16%
79%
|
92 | 50 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 0
ITA
19%
23%
58%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |