Luxembourg vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
58.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1987 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1987 |
LUX
1 - 4
BGR
15%
24%
61%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
SCO
3 - 0
LUX
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1986 |
LUX
0 - 6
BEL
11%
21%
68%
|
36 | 87 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
LUX
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 86 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1987 |
IRL
1 - 0
BRA
17%
26%
56%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
IRL
0 - 0
BEL
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
BGR
2 - 1
IRL
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
SCO
0 - 1
IRL
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
IRL
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |