Luxembourg vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BIH
0 - 2
LUX
77%
15%
7%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LUX
2 - 0
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LUX
0 - 1
MLT
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LUX
0 - 6
POR
4%
15%
81%
|
58 | 93 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SVK
0 - 0
LUX
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ISL
0 - 1
POR
7%
17%
76%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 2
SVK
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 7
ISL
5%
13%
82%
|
76 | 25 | 51 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BIH
3 - 0
ISL
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 1
ISL
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |