Lithuania vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 2
BLR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
2 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 0
LVA
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
UKR
4 - 0
LTU
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
LTU
2 - 1
SRB
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SWE
3 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SCO
1 - 0
CZE
31%
29%
40%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
WAL
3 - 0
SCO
39%
29%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
2 - 0
SCO
55%
25%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 1
NED
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |