Israel vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
ISR
4%
12%
84%
|
79 | 39 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ISR
1 - 2
ROU
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ISR
1 - 1
CHE
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
XXK
1 - 0
ISR
28%
22%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ISR
1 - 0
BLR
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
HND
0 - 2
ISL
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GTM
0 - 1
ISL
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PRT
2 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SVK
4 - 2
ISL
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
4 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
2%
|
75 | 24 | 51 | 0 |