Iceland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SUI
6 - 0
ISL
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
2 - 0
ISL
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
1 - 1
ISL
78%
14%
7%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 2
GHA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
SCO
0 - 4
BEL
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 0
ENG
45%
23%
32%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
BEL
54%
23%
24%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 2
BEL
66%
19%
15%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 2
JPN
70%
18%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |