England vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 2
BEL
45%
24%
31%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
ENG
6%
15%
79%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ENG
2 - 0
MLT
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 1
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BIH
1 - 2
UKR
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BIH
1 - 2
SVK
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LUX
4 - 1
BIH
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BIH
0 - 5
PRT
9%
19%
72%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
BIH
6%
15%
79%
|
80 | 24 | 56 | 0 |