Netherlands vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
NED
3 - 0
GIB
97%
3%
0%
|
93 | 40 | 53 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FRA
4 - 0
NED
46%
24%
30%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
NED
2 - 2
ARG
44%
24%
32%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NED
3 - 1
USA
70%
18%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
NED
2 - 0
QAT
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
CRO
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
CRO
68%
18%
13%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 1
BRA
10%
17%
73%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |