Guinea vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 1
GAB
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 0
GNB
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 2
GIN
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
GIN
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 97 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 2
EGY
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ZMB
3 - 0
UGA
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NER
0 - 2
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 2
DZA
15%
24%
61%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
COD
1 - 0
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |