Guinea vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 3
GUI
26%
25%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 0
ETH
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CIV
3 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
GUI
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
SEN
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 4
EGY
10%
23%
67%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
EGY
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBR
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
82%
14%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |