Guinea vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
CMR
1 - 1
GIN
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
GIN
2 - 0
NGA
27%
26%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BWA
1 - 0
GIN
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GIN
2 - 1
UGA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 1
GAB
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
SEN
3 - 0
GMB
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
GMB
0 - 2
CIV
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
GMB
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GMB
2 - 2
COG
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 3
GMB
13%
20%
68%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |