Guinea vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CIV
3 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
GUI
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
SEN
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEN
1 - 0
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
RWA
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
ETH
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ETH
2 - 2
SDN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |