Ghana vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
USA
4 - 0
GHA
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
GHA
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 1
LBR
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
2 - 1
CTA
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 0
GHA
25%
28%
48%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 1
BEN
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MTN
2 - 1
MAD
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 0
MAD
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 0
GHA
25%
28%
48%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
CTA
2 - 0
MAD
9%
16%
75%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |