Wales vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 0
UKR
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
WAL
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 1
CZE
35%
27%
39%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 1
AUT
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
BEL
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
54%
21%
24%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
43%
23%
35%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NED
4 - 2
DEN
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NED
2 - 0
NOR
81%
13%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MNE
2 - 2
NED
5%
15%
80%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |