Gabon vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
GAB
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MTN
2 - 1
GAB
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GAB
0 - 2
COD
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
GAB
1 - 0
SDN
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
KEN
2 - 2
RUS
8%
19%
73%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
KEN
0 - 1
SSD
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 2
KEN
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
KEN
11%
22%
67%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
KEN
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |