France vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
3%
|
95 | 62 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 2
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 2
GER
59%
20%
20%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 2
FRA
10%
22%
68%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
14 - 0
GIB
96%
4%
0%
|
95 | 38 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NED
4 - 0
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
TTO
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 3
JAM
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
JAM
1 - 2
CAN
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
JPN
4 - 1
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |