Finland vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
WLS
4 - 1
FIN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SMR
1 - 2
FIN
7%
15%
78%
|
80 | 15 | 65 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
FIN
4 - 0
NIR
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
KAZ
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVN
3 - 0
FIN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POL
5 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
EST
83%
13%
4%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
AUT
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
THA
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |