USA vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
USA
0 - 0
SRB
68%
19%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CRC
4 - 0
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
USA
1 - 2
MEX
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
HND
2 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 1
HND
72%
17%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
HND
0 - 1
JAM
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BLZ
0 - 1
HND
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HND
1 - 1
CRC
27%
24%
48%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |