Spain vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAR
82%
13%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
IRN
0 - 1
ESP
15%
20%
65%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
PRT
3 - 3
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUN
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
CHE
79%
14%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
URY
3 - 0
RUS
58%
22%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
3 - 1
EGY
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
5 - 0
SAU
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 1
TUR
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 0
RUS
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |