Spain vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
IRN
0 - 1
ESP
15%
20%
65%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUN
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
SUI
79%
14%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 1
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
IRN
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
MAR
25%
29%
46%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
SVK
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
UKR
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |