Spain vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
+5
10.2%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
02 Sep. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 1
ESP
13%
20%
67%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
06 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
02 Jul. 2021 |
SUI
1 - 1
ESP
19%
21%
60%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
28 Jun. 2021 |
CRO
3 - 5
ESP
18%
21%
61%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
23 Jun. 2021 |
SVK
0 - 5
ESP
9%
16%
74%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
02 Sep. 2021 |
GEO
0 - 1
XXK
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
06 Jun. 2021 |
NED
3 - 0
GEO
89%
9%
3%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
02 Jun. 2021 |
ROU
1 - 2
GEO
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
31 Mar. 2021 |
GRC
1 - 1
GEO
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
28 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 2
ESP
1%
10%
89%
|
73 | 95 | 22 | -1 |