Scotland vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SCT
3 - 1
AUS
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
USA
5 - 1
SCT
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SVN
1 - 1
SCT
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CYP
1 - 2
SCT
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 1
SCT
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 100 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SRB
0 - 0
IRL
26%
28%
46%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 1
SRB
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
SRB
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
SRB
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CYP
0 - 0
SRB
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |