Egypt vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 0
TZA
85%
12%
4%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SLE
0 - 2
EGY
8%
19%
74%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
EGY
6 - 0
DJI
89%
8%
2%
|
85 | 31 | 54 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
DZA
1 - 1
EGY
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZMB
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
BWA
1 - 1
MOZ
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 0
LSO
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 2
DZA
9%
21%
70%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BWA
2 - 3
MOZ
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MOZ
2 - 3
NGA
13%
23%
65%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |