Egypt vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
BDI
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
TZA
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
2 - 1
EGY
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 0
AUS
56%
23%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UGA
2 - 0
KEN
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
ETH
2 - 1
KEN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
MWI
3 - 2
KEN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
TZA
1 - 0
KEN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
KEN
0 - 0
UGA
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |