Egypt vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
EGY
2 - 1
GAB
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
AGO
2 - 2
EGY
13%
24%
63%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
LBY
0 - 3
EGY
18%
25%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBY
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBR
83%
13%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
LBN
0 - 1
ARE
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
LBN
1 - 2
IRN
10%
22%
68%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SYR
2 - 3
LBN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 0
LBN
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
KOR
1 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |