Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
ECU
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 2
ECU
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ECU
2 - 1
URY
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CHL
0 - 0
PRY
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 0
CHL
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CHL
2 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CHL
0 - 0
COL
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URY
3 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |