Croatia vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BIH
3 - 5
HRV
15%
23%
63%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
HRV
0 - 0
RUS
56%
24%
20%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
HRV
12%
23%
65%
|
94 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
HRV
2 - 1
MKD
78%
16%
6%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
HRV
2 - 1
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
AND
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 3
ENG
10%
23%
68%
|
67 | 98 | 31 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
HRV
12%
23%
65%
|
67 | 94 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ISR
4 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
EST
0 - 2
RUS
14%
24%
63%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | -1 |