Colombia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 2
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
USA
0 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
COL
3 - 2
MEX
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RUS
2 - 0
IRQ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
3 - 2
OMA
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
2 - 1
QAT
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
5 - 0
YEM
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
KSA
0 - 2
IRQ
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |