Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 0
CHI
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
COL
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URU
3 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
CHI
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
4%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
PER
35%
27%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |