Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 1
DEU
25%
21%
54%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
PRT
0 - 0
CHL
48%
24%
29%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CHL
1 - 1
AUS
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
DEU
1 - 1
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CMR
0 - 2
CHL
17%
23%
60%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
PRY
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PRY
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
5 - 0
PRY
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
PRY
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
PRY
2 - 1
ECU
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |