Bulgaria vs Montenegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 0
BGR
17%
23%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CYP
0 - 2
BGR
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MKD
0 - 1
BGR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BGR
5 - 1
GIB
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GEO
0 - 0
BGR
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SVN
1 - 0
MNE
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MNE
2 - 2
SVK
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MNE
0 - 2
FIN
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BIH
1 - 0
MNE
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ROU
0 - 3
MNE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |