Belgium vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
POR
4 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
11%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 2
CZE
36%
27%
36%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 1
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 0
AZE
82%
14%
5%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SRB
1 - 0
BEL
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SRB
1 - 1
POR
11%
23%
66%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
POR
4 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
11%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 2
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
KAZ
95%
4%
1%
|
96 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
POL
2 - 1
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |