Austria vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
1 - 3
AUT
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 0
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
AUT
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 1
EST
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
EST
93%
6%
2%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AZE
0 - 1
BEL
3%
12%
85%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
4%
13%
84%
|
93 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
AUT
81%
13%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 3
BEL
52%
21%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |