Australia vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SYR
0 - 1
AUS
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
IND
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 2
AUS
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PLE
0 - 1
AUS
10%
20%
71%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
7 - 0
BGD
91%
7%
1%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
IND
0 - 3
UZB
12%
19%
69%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
0 - 0
SYR
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
1 - 0
PLE
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
UZB
4 - 1
KGZ
81%
14%
6%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
UZB
2 - 2
IRN
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |